Recession Prediction 2025. Recession to 25% from 15%. For example, the new york federal reserve’s predictive model gives a 30% chance of a recession by december 2025.

Sifma says nearly half of roundtable members believe the odds of a recession in 2025 to be 15% or less, while another third estimate that the likelihood of a recession is. Jp morgan outlines an optimistic yet complex global economic outlook for 2025, predicting a low likelihood of recession, estimating only a 15 per cent probability of an.